The Open Championship 2019 Odds
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— The Open (@TheOpen) July 8, 2019. As of now, Brooks Koepka and Rory McIlroy are the betting favorites to win the Open Championship, tied at +800, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. They are followed by Dustin Johnson and Tiger Woods, who both share +1200 odds to win this weekend's tournament. Odds To Win The 2019 Open Championship. With the Open Championship just around the corner, Golf’s Major-Savant, Brooks Koepka is the bettor’s favorite at 15/2 in the odds to win the 2019 Open Championship. It is hard to bet against him. Koepka has won four Majors in the last three years and has finished second in two others.
Favorite Picks
The format for my favorite picks: first the golfer’s name, and then that golfer’s betting odds for the given category, and finally the percentage my model predicts each golfer has a better chance of winning the bet than the odds have projected. All odds are taken from Bovada and are subject to change.
To Win
(Percent Above Odds)
| 1. Dustin Johnson +1600 | 6.3% |
| 2. Gary Woodland +6600 | 5.9% |
| 3. Patrick Cantlay +2500 | 3.8% |
| 4. Brooks Koepka +1000 | 3.3% |
| 5. Adam Scott +2800 | 2.1% |
| 6. Chez Reavie +15000 | 1.6% |
| 7. Xander Schauffele +2500 | 1.5% |
| 8. Bernd Wiesberger +6600 | 1.4% |
| 9. Robert MacIntyre +20000 | 1.2% |
| 10. Sung Kang +30000 | 0.6% |
| 11. Nate Lashley +50000 | 0.6% |
| 12. Justin Rose +2000 | 0.4% |
| 13. Eddie Pepperell +8000 | 0.4% |
| 14. Oliver Wilson +30000 | 0.3% |
| 15. Kevin Streelman +25000 | 0.2% |
| 16. Jason Kokrak +25000 | 0.2% |
| 17. Christiaan Bezuidenhout +30000 | 0.2% |
Top 5
Open Championship Odds 2019 To Make Cut
(Percent Above Odds)
| 1. Gary Woodland +1200 | 9.6% |
| 2. Chez Reavie +2800 | 7.0% |
| 3. Robert MacIntyre +3500 | 6.1% |
| 4. Sung Kang +5000 | 5.3% |
| 5. Patrick Cantlay +550 | 5.2% |
| 6. Nate Lashley +6600 | 4.4% |
| 7. Adam Scott +550 | 4.1% |
| 8. Kevin Streelman +4000 | 3.3% |
| 9. Jason Kokrak +4000 | 2.6% |
| 10. Romain Langasque +5000 | 2.4% |
| 11. Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5000 | 2.2% |
| 12. Webb Simpson +1200 | 1.4% |
| 13. Mike Lorenzo-Vera +2800 | 1.3% |
| 14. Oliver Wilson +4500 | 1.3% |
| 15. Shane Lowry +1100 | 0.9% |
| 16. Luke List +5000 | 0.8% |
| 17. Paul Waring +4500 | 0.6% |
| 18. Brandt Snedeker +2500 | 0.5% |
| 19. Keegan Bradley +2800 | 0.3% |
| 20. C.T. Pan +5000 | 0.2% |
Top 10
(Percent Above Odds)
| 1. Gary Woodland +600 | 22.4% |
| 2. Patrick Cantlay +260 | 13.7% |
| 3. Chez Reavie +1100 | 13.2% |
| 4. Adam Scott +275 | 12.4% |
| 5. Robert MacIntyre +1600 | 12.1% |
| 6. Sung Kang +2800 | 11.3% |
| 7. Nate Lashley +2800 | 7.5% |
| 8. Dustin Johnson +150 | 6.1% |
| 9. Kevin Streelman +2000 | 5.9% |
| 10. Jason Kokrak +2000 | 5.7% |
| 11. Christiaan Bezuidenhout +2000 | 4.5% |
| 12. Matt Kuchar +275 | 3.8% |
| 13. Romain Langasque +2000 | 3.6% |
| 14. Mike Lorenzo-Vera +1400 | 3.5% |
| 15. Webb Simpson +550 | 2.5% |
| 16. Oliver Wilson +2000 | 2.5% |
| 17. Shane Lowry +550 | 2.2% |
| 18. Eddie Pepperell +650 | 1.7% |
| 19. Xander Schauffele +225 | 1.7% |
| 20. C.T. Pan +2500 | 1.4% |
The Open Championship 2019 Odds To Win
Top 20
(Percent Above Odds)
| 1. Gary Woodland +250 | 20.6% |
| 2. Robert MacIntyre +800 | 19.6% |
| 3. Chez Reavie +550 | 19.4% |
| 4. Sung Kang +1000 | 16.8% |
| 5. Mike Lorenzo-Vera +1200 | 15.3% |
| 6. Adam Scott +130 | 15.2% |
| 7. Kevin Streelman +1000 | 14.5% |
| 8. Nate Lashley +1100 | 13.3% |
| 9. Patrick Cantlay +125 | 12.7% |
| 10. Webb Simpson +275 | 10.9% |
| 11. Jason Kokrak +900 | 9.3% |
| 12. Romain Langasque +1000 | 9.1% |
| 13. Christiaan Bezuidenhout +900 | 8.5% |
| 14. Paul Waring +1000 | 5.2% |
| 15. Jazz Janewattananond +900 | 5.0% |
| 16. Matt Kuchar +130 | 4.9% |
| 17. Luke List +1000 | 4.2% |
| 18. Adam Hadwin +800 | 3.9% |
| 19. Brandt Snedeker +550 | 3.9% |
First Round Leader
(Percent Above Odds)
| 1. Patrick Cantlay +4000 | 10.4% |
| 2. Dustin Johnson +2800 | 9.9% |
| 3. Rory McIlroy +1800 | 7.3% |
| 4. Brooks Koepka +2000 | 5.9% |
| 5. Adam Scott +4000 | 5.5% |
| 6. Mike Lorenzo-Vera +12500 | 5.5% |
| 7. Xander Schauffele +3300 | 4.3% |
| 8. Gary Woodland +5500 | 4.2% |
| 9. Matt Kuchar +4000 | 3.9% |
| 10. Justin Rose +2800 | 3.6% |
| 11. Jon Rahm +2800 | 2.4% |
| 12. Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000 | 0.9% |
| 13. Webb Simpson +6600 | 0.5% |
| 14. Chez Reavie +10000 | 0.5% |
| 15. Shane Lowry +5500 | 0.4% |
| 16. Robert MacIntyre +12500 | 0.4% |
| 17. Paul Casey +5000 | 0.3% |
| 18. Bryson DeChambeau +4000 | 0.3% |
| 19. Hideki Matsuyama +5000 | 0.2% |
| 20. Romain Langasque +15000 | 0.2% |
Other First Round Leader Bets
(Golfers with one-round knockout potential)
| Tiger Woods | +2800 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +4000 |
| Rickie Fowler | +4000 |
| Justin Thomas | +3500 |
| Jordan Spieth | +4000 |
| Phil Mickelson | +8000 |
| Lee Westwood | +8000 |
| Keegan Bradley | +12500 |
| Paul Waring | +15000 |
| Zander Lombard | +17500 |
| Andrew Johnston | +12500 |
Overall Odds
These are the odds that my model has projected as the most likely golfers to win, place in the top 10, and make the cut.
To Win
(Win Percent with Odds)
| 1. Brooks Koepka – 14.1% | +1000 |
| 2. Dustin Johnson – 11.5% | +1600 |
| 3. Gary Woodland – 8.3% | +6600 |
| 4. Patrick Cantlay – 7.2% | +2500 |
| 5. Rory McIlroy – 6.6% | +800 |
| 6. Adam Scott – 5.7% | +2800 |
| 7. Xander Schauffele – 5.4% | +2500 |
| 8. Justin Rose – 4.7% | +2000 |
| 9. Jon Rahm – 3.5% | +1600 |
| 10. Bernd Wiesberger – 2.3% | +6600 |
| 11. Chez Reavie – 2.3% | +15000 |
| 12. Matt Kuchar – 2.0% | +3300 |
| 13. Robert Macintyre – 1.9% | +20000 |
| 14. Matt Wallace – 1.9% | +4000 |
| 15. Jordan Spieth – 1.5% | +3300 |
| 16. Bryson DeChambeau – 1.4% | +4000 |
| 17. Shane Lowry – 1.4% | +6600 |
| 18. Eddie Pepperell – 1.3% | +8000 |
| 19. Hideki Matsuyama – 1.2% | +4000 |
| 20. Francesco Molinari – 1.1% | +2500 |
Top 10
(Top 10 Percent with Odds)
| 1. Rory McIlroy – 45.2% | -125 |
| 2. Dustin Johnson – 45.0% | +150 |
| 3. Brooks Koepka – 43.3% | +Even |
| 4. Patrick Cantlay – 41.9% | +260 |
| 5. Adam Scott – 39.8% | +275 |
| 6. Gary Woodland – 36.4% | +600 |
| 7. Justin Rose – 32.4% | +175 |
| 8. Xander Schauffele – 31.2% | +225 |
| 9. Jon Rahm – 27.3% | +150 |
| 10. Matt Kuchar – 27.2% | +275 |
| 11. Chez Reavie – 21.1% | +1100 |
| 12. Matt Wallace – 20.8% | +400 |
| 13. Bryson DeChambeau – 19.6% | +350 |
| 14. Jordan Spieth – 19.1% | +330 |
| 15. Tiger Woods – 19.0% | +150 |
| 16. Hideki Matsuyama – 17.9% | +350 |
| 17. Robert Macintyre – 17.9% | +1600 |
| 18. Webb Simpson – 17.6% | +550 |
| 19. Shane Lowry – 17.0% | +550 |
| 20. Paul Casey – 16.3% | +400 |
Make the Cut
(Cut Percent)
| 1. Hideki Matsuyama – 91.8% |
| 2. Brooks Koepka – 89.8% |
| 3. Patrick Cantlay – 89.6% |
| 4. Rory McIlroy – 89.5% |
| 5. Webb Simpson – 89.5% |
| 6. Dustin Johnson – 89.0% |
| 7. Matt Kuchar – 88.9% |
| 8. Tommy Fleetwood – 88.8% |
| 9. Adam Scott – 86.3% |
| 10. Justin Rose – 85.3% |
| 11. Jason Day – 84.1% |
| 12. Paul Casey – 83.1% |
| 13. Xander Schauffele – 82.5% |
| 14. Louis Oosthuizen – 81.5% |
| 15. Rickie Fowler – 81.1% |
| 16. Francesco Molinari – 80.8% |
| 17. Jason Kokrak – 80.6% |
| 18. Bryson DeChambeau – 79.7% |
| 19. Jon Rahm – 79.4% |
| 20. Tiger Woods – 78.3% |